Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 5:03 PM GMT op 25 januari 2012 | +25 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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They said something yesterday about changing the timeline or whatever today. So that people can access your comments or pics from as far back as you've been on there. So if you've forgotten stuff you may want to delete them. Lol.
Anonymous launching a DDOS attack seems feasible.... they have been threatening it...
Cyclone Watches for Western Australia
--
what is not shown is Cyclone Warnings for western Indonesia by the Jakarta Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Im not a "kid" but im Young...
Sarcasm flag: (ON)
And yes you all should strive to be more like me XD
LOIC?
Ah. Never heard of it.
My question is why Vermin Supreme wont become president!? He is the most qualified out of all the lunatics in the race.
And I think that zombie apocalypse awareness is seriously under-covered in the news as of recently...
I take pride in my teeth, so should everyone else!
A vote for Vermin Supreme is a vote thrown away! Vote early and vote often!
Vote Cthulu for 2012! Why vote for the lesser evil?
Posted on January 25, 2012
January 25, 2012 – P. NEW GUINEA – Dozens of people are feared to have been buried in a massive landslide in the Southern Highlands of Papua New Guinea. According to VOA, at least 40 bodies have been pulled from the debris and as many as 20 others are feared missing. The landslide struck at 7am AEDT yesterday near the Nogoli base for a ExxonMobil-led liquefied natural gas plant site, northwest of Port Moresby. One local said three villages had been covered while another report said only a handful of homes were lost. Radio Australia reported dozens of people were feared buried, quoting a Tari resident as saying about 40 people were missing. The landslide was said to stretch about one kilometer and was 300 meters wide, and had cut a main road in the area. All Australians reported in the area have been accounted for, Radio Australia reported. ExxonMobil said its personnel were all safe. “We have been in contact with the Natural Disaster and Response Office,” ExxonMobil spokeswoman Rebecca Arnold said. “All our personnel are accounted for. We have closed down work in the surrounding area. Ms. Arnold said the landslide is not expected to hinder the project’s completion in 2014. The $16 billion LNG project is due to begin production in 2014 and will see PNG’s natural gas sold across Asia for the next 30 years – a plan projected to double PNG’s gross domestic product. –Daily Telegraph
Posted on January 26, 2012
January 26, 2012 – FIJI – A couple and their two young children are confirmed to have died in a landslide in flood-stricken Fiji. Their deaths bring to six the number killed in flooding and landslides in the west of the main island Viti Levu. Police have confirmed that the couple, in their 30s, and their their two daughters, aged three and one, were in a house in the Ba district of north western Vita Levu, the Fiji Broadcasting Corporation reports. Earlier in the week a man died in Labasa and another died in Ba. Parts of Nadi, Ba, and Rakiraki were on Thursday declared natural disaster zones. The permanent secretary of information, Sharon Smith-Johns, says the military, police and personnel from non-government organizations and the Red Cross are heading to the affected areas. Ms Smith-Johns says 3400 people are in evacuation centers and more than 100 homes may have been destroyed by the floods. A disaster response advisor for the United Nations, Peter Muller, says attempts to evaluate damage from the floods are being hampered by the remoteness of some communities and bridges which have been washed away by swollen rivers. Mr Muller says the rains have stopped for the time being and floodwaters are receding but the respite may be short lived with the rain set to return within 24 hours. Foreign Affairs Minister Murray McCully says New Zealand will give $350,000 to the Fiji Red Cross and other agencies to assist efforts in the aftermath of the flooding. –Radio New Zealand
Mansehra, PAKISTAN – Police say at least nine miners are feared dead after they were buried by a large landslide in northwest Pakistan. Local police officer Ali Zia says the phosphate miners were eating lunch Wednesday in the mountain village of Tharnawai in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province when the accident occurred. Zia said rescue efforts have been hampered by bad weather and the inability to get heavy machinery to the site. It had been snowing and raining before the slide occurred. Eyewitness Mohammad Khurshid Awan said rescue workers were using shovels in an attempt to uncover the buried miners. Zia, the police officer, said no bodies have yet been recovered. –Dawn
Tropical Cyclone Iggy
Issued at 9:08 am WST Thursday 26 January 2012. Refer to Tropical Cyclone Advice Number 1.
SST's
Ocean Heat Content & Forecast Track
hmm still waiting for the advice page.. but ya looks like a "Category 4" is forecast for IGGY.
LOL
Say ST2K...where u been? aint seen your frequent posts here for awhile...either that or i aint here when you are xD
Nah...only expected to reach 80 knots as of 1500Z, thats 92 mph. category 1:)
now I know your in Australia(right?) and they have a different scale. It would be a Cat 3 as you already know:)
Don't take the 5 day forecasts so seriously. :P Yasi was only supposed to peak at 80kts for the first 24 hours of his life. I wonder what happened....
It would be a Cat 3 in only 72hrs, and still time to get stronger.
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
12: 26/1200: 16.9S 109.6E: 080 [150]: 045 [085]: 984
24: 27/0000: 17.9S 110.4E: 115 [215]: 055 [100]: 978
36: 27/1200: 18.8S 111.0E: 145 [270]: 065 [120]: 967
48: 28/0000: 19.6S 111.7E: 185 [345]: 075 [140]: 958
60: 28/1200: 20.3S 112.5E: 230 [430]: 085 [155]: 949
72: 29/0000: 20.7S 113.1E: 280 [520]: 090 [165]: 943
VIS imagery shows the LLCC on the eastern edge of the CDO. CIMSS shear analysis
indicates around 20 knots of easterly shear consistent with the indications from
VIS imagery. Shear pattern gives DT 3.0 with the LLCC not sufficiently
underneath the CDO to yield 3.5. ADT is at 2.7.
Final intensity is set at 40 knots though it is likely that winds on the eastern
side are weaker at present. Overnight the system has begun to move SE'ly as
expected. The ridge to the south is very weak and steering is dominated by the
monsoon flow to the north over the next 72 hours, bringing the system SE towards
the coast. Models indicate SSE or SE movement maintained for around 48 hours
before sufficient ridging develops to the south to steer the system to the west.
Not all models develop sufficient ridging to the alter the course, with some
models maintaining a SE course bringing it across the Pilbara coast.
All available intensity guidance indicates the system will steadily intensify
over the next 3 days and this is consistent with an analysis of the synoptic
conditions. If the system maintains a more SE'ly track it will track over warmer
SSTs. A more southerly track will bring it into an area of shallower warm water
near 20S and may limit intensity due to upwelling of colder water if the system
is slow moving. Shear remains low to moderate over the period and favourable
interaction with an upper trough is possible over the weekend.
Strong winds, heavy rainfall and abnormally large swells will be experienced
near Christmas Island, the Kimberley and Pilbara coasts due to the influence of
a strong monsoonal flow.
Did that yesterday. :)
Whats with the name Iggy? i mean..nothing else available?
and it's not an option if you want it or not, it will be forced on all users whether they like it or not, which sucks, I don't like it on my friends profiles, and I don't want it on mine.
That's how MySpace has pretty much become unpopular...too many changes that people did not like.
go to google+.... oh wait, they are violating privacy now... crap.
Tropical Cyclone Advice #1
TROPICAL CYCLONE IGGY, CATEGORY ONE (11U)
9:00 AM WST January 26 2012
================================
At 8:00 AM WST, Tropical Cyclone Iggy, Category One (986 hPa) located at 16.2S 108.8E or 850 kilometres northwest of Exmouth and 990 kilometres west northwest of Karratha has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southwest at 5 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24 HRS
Gale Force Winds
--------------------
110 NM from the center
The cyclone is expected to intensify steadily as it approaches the coast.
Tropical Cyclone Iggy has recurved and is now moving southeast towards the west Pilbara coast at around 9 km/h.
Gales are not expected in coastal communities on Thursday or Friday, however gales may develop on the coast between Whim Creek and Coral Bay on Saturday. Rainfall is likely to increase on Friday in coastal parts of the Pilbara, west Kimberley and possibly on the west coast north of Cape Cuvier.
Strong winds, heavy rainfall and abnormally large swells will be experienced near Christmas Island, the Kimberley and Pilbara coasts due to the influence of a strong monsoonal flow.
Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Whim Creek to Coral Bay.
Forecast and Intensity:
======================
12 HRS: 16.9S 109.6E - 45 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 17.9S 110.4E - 55 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 19.6S 111.7E - 75 knots (CAT 3)
72 HRS: 20.7S 113.1E - 90 knots (CAT 4)
Additional Information
========================
Visible imagery shows the low level circulation center on the eastern edge of the central dense overcast. CIMSS shear analysis indicates around 20 knots of easterly shear consistent with the indications from VIS imagery. Shear pattern gives DT 3.0 with the low level circulation center not sufficiently underneath the central dense overcast to yield 3.5. ADT is at 2.7.
Final intensity is set at 40 knots though it is likely that winds on the eastern side are weaker at present. Overnight the system has begun to move southeasterly as expected. The ridge to the south is very weak and steering is dominated by the monsoon flow to the north over the next 72 hours, bringing the system SE towards the coast. Models indicate SSE or SE movement maintained for around 48 hours before sufficient ridging develops to the south to steer the system to the west. Not all models develop sufficient ridging to the alter the course, with some models maintaining a SE course bringing it across the Pilbara coast.
All available intensity guidance indicates the system will steadily intensify over the next 3 days and this is consistent with an analysis of the synoptic conditions. If the system maintains a more southeasterly track it will track over warmer sea surface temperatures. A more southerly track will bring it into an area of shallower warm water near 20S and may limit intensity due to upwelling of colder water if the system is slow moving. Shear remains low to moderate over the period and favorable interaction with an upper trough is possible over the weekend.
Strong winds, heavy rainfall and abnormally large swells will be experienced near Christmas Island, the Kimberley and Pilbara coasts due to the influence of a strong monsoonal flow.
The next tropical cyclone advice from Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center on TC Iggy will be issued at around 7:30 AM UTC..
I have a google + but don't use it. I have more friends and relatives that use Facebook than anything else.
whoa....
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