Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Hurricane Beatriz slams into Mexico; heavy rains, tornadoes hit the Midwest
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:34 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011 +7
Hurricane Beatriz plowed into the Pacific coast of Mexico near La Fortuna this morning as a Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds, bringing very heavy rains and mudslides to a 200-mile stretch of coast. Acapulco reported 5.20" of rain yesterday, and one injury due to a falling free. Hurricane-force winds extend outwards 25 miles from the center of Beatriz, and these winds are likely to cause moderate damage along a 200-mile stretch of the Mexican coast today as the storm moves northwestwards towards Cabo Corrientes. However, the primary threat from the storm will be heavy rain, and the expected rains of 6 - 12" are likely to cause very dangerous flooding and mudslides today and Wednesday morning. Satellite loops reveal that Beatriz weakened significantly over the past few hours, once the eye moved over land. The mountainous terrain of coastal Mexico will continue to tear up the storm today, and Beatriz will likely be a weak tropical storm by the time it moves back out to sea on Wednesday.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Hurricane Beatriz over the Pacific coast of Mexico taken at 9:30am EDT June 21, 2011. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

Tornadoes, heavy rain slam the Midwest
Severe thunderstorms rumbled through a wide section of the Midwest yesterday, generating numerous tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, and heavy flooding rains. The storm also brought heavy snow to the mountains of Colorado above 9,500 feet, an unusual occurrence for so late in June. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged 43 preliminary tornado reports yesterday in Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, Texas, and North Dakota. The tornadoes mostly avoided populated areas, and only sporadic damage was reported. Perhaps the most significant impact of the storm was the large area of 1 - 4 inches of rain it dropped on Nebraska and South Dakota. This rain will run off into the Missouri River, further aggravating the flooding that has breached two levees and overtopped two other levees in the past week. The large, slow-moving low pressure system responsible for the rains and severe weather will bring additional heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches over portions of the Missouri River watershed today, and will touch off a new round of severe weather today and Wednesday as the storm progresses slowly eastwards. However, the Storm Prediction Center is issuing only their "Slight Risk" forecast for severe weather for both days.


Figure 2. Radar reflectivity image of a supercell thunderstorm with a classic hook echo. The storm spawned a tornado that hit Elm Creek, Nebraska yesterday. The tornado ripped the roofs off of several houses and tore down power lines.

The Atlantic is quiet
The Atlantic is quiet, with no tropical cyclones predicted over the next seven days by the reliable computer models.

Jeff Masters
Rainbow Over Mt. Sopris (enghorn)
Rainbow Over Mt. Sopris
Categories: Tornado Hurricane
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301. ShenValleyFlyFish 9:06 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting BobinTampa:


it's bro!! don't tase me BRO!!!

I can't believe you butchered the single greatest quote of this generation. :)
Hey it's not my generation. When we got out of line they whacked us with a night stick or black-jack. Now Grothar they beaned with a rock or Tyrannosaurus thigh bone.
Member Since: 9 september 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4684
302. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 9:07 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting seasonbust2011:
well i can officially announce the month of JUNE 2011 is officially a BUST!!!!!!!!!!!!!!however JULY 2011 is still in question....
and i can declare that you have been the official season is a bust troll for june 2011 the outlook for july looks to be just as trollish whenever you are on this blog
so the forecast for july expect same trolls with trollish behaviour to continue
Member Since: 15 juli 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40636
303. PcolaDan 9:07 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting geepy86:

And I'll wax my car.


Someone needs to schedule an outdoor wedding.
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304. caneswatch 9:08 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting Torgen:


Don't look back you can never look back.


Nobody on the road, nobody on the beach.....
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305. weaverwxman 9:09 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting BobinTampa:
Completely off topic, but if you were installing a new phone system in an office, wouldn't you wait until after hours to take down the old system. You know, that way your customer wouldn't be without phone service for two hours??!!??


Grrrrr.

What and pay crazy fees for Phone Tech OT not a chance.
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306. MrstormX 9:10 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
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307. presslord 9:10 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting PcolaDan:


Someone needs to schedule an outdoor wedding.


dude.,..we had one out here on the beach over the weekend...the bride was soaked in sweat...and I don't mean in a hot way...it was very disturbing...
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308. CarlnPearland 9:12 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
I felt it in the air,
The summers out of reach.
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309. MrstormX 9:14 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
410 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

WIC047-212130-
/O.CON.KMKX.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110621T2130Z/
GREEN LAKE WI-
410 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN GREEN LAKE COUNTY
UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 409 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BERLIN...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
BERLIN AROUND 420 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR
THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 4381 8893 4388 8917 4398 8917 4399 8890
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 201DEG 20KT 4392 8898

$$

MRC

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310. PcolaDan 9:15 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting presslord:


dude.,..we had one out here on the beach over the weekend...the bride was soaked in sweat...and I don't mean in a hot way...it was very disturbing...


I've seen some here during the summer, and my first thought is = What the he*#, are they INSANE?
Member Since: 22 augustus 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6008
311. weaverwxman 9:15 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
A little off topic but I just read where someone in Coral Springs dropped there newborn baby girl at the firestation. What a great law we have that enables people to drop them off instead of dumping them in the trash. I know she won't read this but I am proud of her for at least giving her baby a chance.. KUDOS to whoever dropped it off...
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312. JRRP 9:16 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
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313. washingtonian115 9:17 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
and i can declare that you have been the official season is a bust troll for june 2011 the outlook for july looks to be just as trollish whenever you are on this blog
so the forecast for july expect same trolls with trollish behaviour to continue
Hopefully July has some interesting things going on so that we won't have to worry about this foolish things.
Member Since: 14 augustus 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 10664
314. Some1Has2BtheRookie 9:18 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
I keep hearing of promises of rain for me. Scroll down to the bottom and check out this radar:

Link

I am afraid to show this to my lizard. He bought swim fins yesterday. He is NOT going to be a happy camper, er, swimmer.
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315. MrstormX 9:19 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
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316. TropicalAnalystwx13 9:22 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Hopefully July has some interesting things going on so that we won't have to worry about this foolish things.


I wouldn't worry about July being inactive...Most of our analogue years featured about 2-3 named storms. The normal number of tropical cyclones by July 31 is only 1, so if we get 2-3, we will be above normal.
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317. blsealevel 9:24 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
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318. washingtonian115 9:24 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


I wouldn't worry about July being inactive...Most of our analogue years featured about 2-3 named storms. The normal number of tropical cyclones by July 31 is only 1, so if we get 2-3, we will be above normal.
I just want a storm to track.So I can keep busy on the blog.
Member Since: 14 augustus 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 10664
319. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 9:25 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Hopefully July has some interesting things going on so that we won't have to worry about this foolish things.


i like when the trolls show up it shows the rest of us just how many stupid people there really is out there
Member Since: 15 juli 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40636
320. druseljic 9:26 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting presslord:


dude.,..we had one out here on the beach over the weekend...the bride was soaked in sweat...and I don't mean in a hot way...it was very disturbing...


Ouch, not a pretty picture...
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321. CatfishJones 9:26 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Heat Index in Fort Meade, Florida hit 124... (106F/42%RH)
Member Since: 30 mei 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 233
322. TropicalAnalystwx13 9:26 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Judging by the size of the tornado, and the radar estimates from yesterday, I'd rate the tornado an EF-3, maybe an EF-4.

Look at this incredible video.
Member Since: 6 juli 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25330
323. Some1Has2BtheRookie 9:28 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting CatfishJones:
Heat Index in Fort Meade, Florida hit 124... (106F/42%RH)



Is that a record high for there? That is pretty toasty.
Member Since: 24 augustus 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4102
324. MTWX 9:28 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting blsealevel:

finally getting some decent rain here!! We are currently at .8 inches and it is still coming down!! Current rainfall rate 2 in/hr!
Member Since: 20 juli 2009 Posts: 22 Comments: 1215
325. washingtonian115 9:28 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i like when the trolls show up it shows the rest of us just how many stupid people there really is out there
Lol.Before I flag them I let them entertain me for a while.
Member Since: 14 augustus 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 10664
326. blsealevel 9:28 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
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327. BEENE 9:30 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Any hope for Texas? Seems like we are still stuck in this no rain pattern here in Houston.
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328. MrMixon 9:31 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Judging by the size of the tornado, and the radar estimates from yesterday, I'd rate the tornado an EF-3, maybe an EF-4.

Look at this incredible video.


Cool video, but what were they thinking with that banner? It completely covers the line of contact between the tornado and the ground for most of the video...
Member Since: 26 maart 2006 Posts: 38 Comments: 986
329. blsealevel 9:33 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting MTWX:

finally getting some decent rain here!! We are currently at .8 inches and it is still coming down!! Current rainfall rate 2 in/hr!


Nice; it rained alittle here this morning but that was about all so far today looks worse then it is.
Member Since: 23 augustus 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1916
330. Some1Has2BtheRookie 9:34 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting BEENE:
Any hope for Texas? Seems like we are still stuck in this no rain pattern here in Houston.


Check the link in #314. Does not look good for us right now. I hear talk of rain but, I think this must be some type of folk lore and not actually real.
Member Since: 24 augustus 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4102
331. TropicalAnalystwx13 9:35 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting MrMixon:


Cool video, but what were they thinking with that banner? It completely covers the line of contact between the tornado and the ground for most of the video...


I guess they didn't think they had anywhere else to put it.
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332. CycloneUK 9:36 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
This thing is IMMENSE:

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333. TropicalAnalystwx13 9:38 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting CycloneUK:
This thing is IMMENSE:



Looks a whole lot better than Haima.

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334. MTWX 9:38 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting blsealevel:


Nice; it rained alittle here this morning but that was about all so far today looks worse then it is.

We are having a 4th of July party at my place this year, and my yard is completely dead. Hopefully this will green it back up a bit, so no one catches my yard on fire!
Member Since: 20 juli 2009 Posts: 22 Comments: 1215
335. MrMixon 9:41 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


I guess they didn't think they had anywhere else to put it.


Well that makes me think I should work in video production instead of geology/cartography, because I can come up with five different ways to display the source information for the video without covering the "meat" of what the video is showing...

:)

(not digging on you for posting it, of course... just digging on weather.com for overuse of templates...)
Member Since: 26 maart 2006 Posts: 38 Comments: 986
336. TomTaylor 9:41 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting CycloneUK:
This thing is IMMENSE:

Floater image seems to be having trouble fitting the whole storm on the page lol
Member Since: 24 augustus 2010 Posts: 18 Comments: 3904
337. beell 9:45 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting CatfishJones:
Heat Index in Fort Meade, Florida hit 124... (106F/42%RH)


Did that station report a dewpoint?
Member Since: 11 september 2007 Posts: 125 Comments: 12884
338. DEKRE 9:47 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting beell:


Did that station report a dewpoint?


he gave you RH
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339. TropicalAnalystwx13 9:48 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
12Z CMC Ensemble precipitation forecast Hr. 228:



12Z CMC Ensemble sea level pressure forecast Hr. 228:

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340. Tropicsweatherpr 9:51 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Tropical wave has been introduced at the 18z surface analysis around 17W. Is the most north a wave has emerged West Africa in 2011.

Member Since: 29 april 2009 Posts: 64 Comments: 8223
341. DDR 9:51 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
T&T met office forecasting more rain

Tonight:
Variably cloudy with scattered showers and the
risk of isolated pre-dawn thundershowers.

Tomorrow:
Mostly cloudy with widespread showers and isolated
thundershowers.
Gusty winds,street and flash flooding will
accompany heavy showers and thundershowers.
THE REMAINDER OF THE LESSER ANTILLIES
Fair to partly cloudy with isolated showers.
Member Since: 27 april 2007 Posts: 13 Comments: 1475
342. TropicalAnalystwx13 9:51 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Tropical wave has been introduced at the 18z surface analysis around 17W. Is the most north a wave has emerged West Africa in 2011.



That's because the cooling of the Gulf of Guinea has forced the monsoon trof and ITCZ very far north.
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343. Tazmanian 9:52 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
if you are a big firefox fan like many are on here


firefox 5 is out


Link
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345. beell 9:57 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting DEKRE:


he gave you RH


Correct.
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346. Torgen 9:58 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting Patrap:


Tulane fan?
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347. Torgen 10:01 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Sprinkling in Brandon, FL. The cloud cover is giving more relief than the precipitation I think. ;)
Member Since: 3 juni 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 321
349. TropicalAnalystwx13 10:03 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting scooster67:
Off Topic

Defense council for Casey Anthony is:?

A) Competent
B) Good
C) OK
D) Bad
E) Pathetic
F) Historically the worst ever! OMG!!


Not the place for that, even if you noted that it was off-topic.
Member Since: 6 juli 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25330
350. druseljic 10:05 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
Quoting scooster67:
Off Topic

Defense council for Casey Anthony is:?

A) Competent
B) Good
C) OK
D) Bad
E) Pathetic
F) Historically the worst ever! OMG!!


This is a weather blog. Read the rules, your post is deep in the off topic range. Might be a good idea to delete it to prevent a ban. Just sayin...
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351. islander101010 10:07 PM GMT op 21 juni 2011    
august is always fun on the boards
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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