Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Tomas nearly dead; Haiti deals with Tomas' floods
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 3:50 PM GMT op 07 november 2010 +1
Tropical Storm Tomas is merging with a cold front over the open Atlantic Ocean and has only a few more hours of life as a tropical cyclone. Despite bringing heavy rains of 4 - 8 inches to highly vulnerable Haiti on Friday, flooding from the storm is only being blamed for eight deaths in the country. Haiti has thankfully avoided a flooding catastrophe, and it certainly could have gone far worse for Haiti. Much weaker storms than Tomas have claimed thousands of lives, and Tomas could easily have done so had it taken a slightly different track. Still, Tomas' passage caused plenty of flooding damage in Haiti. The heavy rains and floods from the storm will also worsen the country's cholera epidemic, which has already claimed over 500 lives. Cholera is a spread via contaminated water, and Tomas' rains will cause a great deal of water contamination. Portlight.org has their mobile kitchen on the scene and is assessing needs. As reported by Rudy Victor in the Portlight.org blog, "Reports coming from the countryside are not good. Thank God its not what we're afraid of, but lots of damage. Leogane a city west of Port-au-Prince is inundated, cities along the extreme southwestern peninsula have suffered great damage by the seas; lots of small fishermen's houses are gone. Dame Marie, Anse d'Hainault, Les Irois, Chambellan, and lots more have been severely damaged by storm surge and raging waves. Gonaives is flooded since last night; luckily there are not reports yet of casualties there. Most people fled to higher ground before the storm. A lot of roads in the south west are destroyed, lots of harvest in the south are lost, and it's another terrible blow for this country, but it appears that there was not a lot of death due to the storm."


Figure 1. Morning afternoon satellite image of Tomas shows that the storm has lost almost all of its heavy thunderstorms, and is now embedded in a cold front that extends northwards to Nova Scotia, Canada. Moisture streaming northwards from Tomas along this front has brought heavy rains in excess of six inches to Nova Scotia over the past few two days.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Hurricane
  Permalink | A A A
Reader Comments
Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted
Viewing: 201 - 251

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6Blog Index

201. tornadodude 1:48 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting beell:


Dynamically speaking, just a beautiful set-up for severe over eastern OK and the ARLATX Thursday (early guess). moving east for Friday.

Adequate moisture return very much in doubt and it may not come together until after dark.

Things can change, though.


yeah, the moisture is the big thing in this set up
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
202. tornadodude 1:49 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting hydrus:
I have not been through a bad ice storm since 1976..It was so bad that my father had to pour hot water all over the car door to open it. The whole car was encased with 3 inches of solid ice. It was rather fun to watch.


oh wow ha

been through that, its rough thats for sure
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
204. hydrus 1:51 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tropicfreak:


It even was bad enough to be put on Storm Stories. 14" of rain in one hour, and the Shockoe bottom was hardest hit, with over 5 feet of water in some spots in that area.
Link
I do not believe the 14 inches of rain in an hour...That would be a world record..Record Value 305mm (12")
Date of Record 22/6/1947
Length of Record 1948-present
Instrumentation Recording Rain Gauge
Geospatial Location Holt, MO, USA [39°27'N, 94°20'W, elevation: 263.11m (863ft)]
Member Since: 27 september 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14682
205. sunlinepr 1:52 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Put your lights on....

Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
206. KoritheMan 1:52 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tropicfreak:


It even was bad enough to be put on Storm Stories. 14" of rain in one hour, and the Shockoe bottom was hardest hit, with over 5 feet of water in some spots in that area.
Link


Maybe it was a little worse than I thought. But I'm still holding firm to my opinion. I'm quite stubborn on the retirement issue. :P
Member Since: 7 maart 2007 Posts: 421 Comments: 15643
207. hydrus 1:54 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:


oh wow ha

been through that, its rough thats for sure
Up here on the plateau, there is damage that is still visible from the last bad ice storm they had here 16 years ago.
Member Since: 27 september 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14682
208. tornadodude 1:55 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting hydrus:
Up here on the plateau, there is damage that is still visible from the last bad ice storm they had here 16 years ago.


wow, thats crazy!

Id watch out for some weather on friday, possible severe storms
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
209. tropicfreak 1:56 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting hydrus:
I do not believe the 14 inches of rain in an hour...That would be a world record..Record Value 305mm (12")
Date of Record 22/6/1947
Length of Record 1948-present
Instrumentation Recording Rain Gauge
Geospatial Location Holt, MO, USA [39°27'N, 94°20'W, elevation: 263.11m (863ft)]


I meant 14 inches of rain in 3 hours sorry. Typing error.
Member Since: 2 september 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6612
210. hydrus 1:57 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting sunlinepr:


Many super sat pics there:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/nexsat-bin/nexsat.cgi

You can generate animated gifs also...
Gracias..:)
Member Since: 27 september 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14682
211. DontAnnoyMe 1:57 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:


yeah, the moisture is the big thing in this set up


NWS winter weather impact graphics here.
Member Since: 21 september 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3690
212. sunlinepr 1:58 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Create your own animated Sat. Gif of your city (if listed here) - In this link

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_met/PUBLIC/nexsat/pages/city_zooms/nexsat_city_zooms.html


Link

Click on the city and then click Animate, select Very large photo and Most Recent.... Wait for the animation to develop.... Copy and paste to the blog...
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
213. hydrus 1:59 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:


wow, thats crazy!

Id watch out for some weather on friday, possible severe storms
There have been more deaths in Tennessee from tornadoes in the the past ten years then any other state...I will be watching..
Member Since: 27 september 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14682
214. beell 2:01 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:


yeah, the moisture is the big thing in this set up


I bet we still get at least a narrow warm sector over LA and AR.

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 AM CST SUN NOV 07 2010
VALID 101200Z - 151200Z

...PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW TO DELINEATE A SEVERE RISK AREA...

MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST A GENERAL TREND TOWARD
THE EVOLUTION OF A STRONG UPPER RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE COMING WORK WEEK...WITH BROAD
TROUGHING DEVELOPING DOWNSTREAM ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S...AS THE
ATLANTIC BLOCKING PATTERN GRADUALLY WEAKENS. HOWEVER... VARIABILITY
REMAINS QUITE LARGE AMONG THE MODELS AND MODEL ENSEMBLES CONCERNING
THIS PROCESS...PARTICULARLY WITH REGARD TO EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE
DEVELOPMENTS. WHILE STRONG CYCLOGENESIS STILL APPEARS A POSSIBILITY
FROM PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND
GREAT LAKES REGION LATE IN THE WEEK OR EARLY NEXT
WEEKEND...PROBABILITIES FOR THIS OCCURRING APPEAR TO BE ON THE LOWER
END. FURTHER COMPLICATING MATTERS CONCERNING THE SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL IS THE LIKELIHOOD OF CONTINUED LIMITED/ SLOW BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTENING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..KERR.. 11/07/2010

Member Since: 11 september 2007 Posts: 126 Comments: 13069
215. tornadodude 2:08 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting hydrus:
There have been more deaths in Tennessee from tornadoes in the the past ten years then any other state...I will be watching..


yeah, be sure to keep an eye to the sky
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
216. tornadodude 2:09 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting beell:


I bet we still get at least a narrow warm sector over LA and AR.

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 AM CST SUN NOV 07 2010
VALID 101200Z - 151200Z

...PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW TO DELINEATE A SEVERE RISK AREA...

MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST A GENERAL TREND TOWARD
THE EVOLUTION OF A STRONG UPPER RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE COMING WORK WEEK...WITH BROAD
TROUGHING DEVELOPING DOWNSTREAM ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S...AS THE
ATLANTIC BLOCKING PATTERN GRADUALLY WEAKENS. HOWEVER... VARIABILITY
REMAINS QUITE LARGE AMONG THE MODELS AND MODEL ENSEMBLES CONCERNING
THIS PROCESS...PARTICULARLY WITH REGARD TO EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE
DEVELOPMENTS. WHILE STRONG CYCLOGENESIS STILL APPEARS A POSSIBILITY
FROM PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND
GREAT LAKES REGION LATE IN THE WEEK OR EARLY NEXT
WEEKEND...PROBABILITIES FOR THIS OCCURRING APPEAR TO BE ON THE LOWER
END. FURTHER COMPLICATING MATTERS CONCERNING THE SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL IS THE LIKELIHOOD OF CONTINUED LIMITED/ SLOW BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTENING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..KERR.. 11/07/2010



yeah, if there is enough moisture, I could see there being a possible significant outbreak, this system will likely have the dynamics to work with
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
217. tornadodude 2:11 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
I made a new blog regarding this system link
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
218. sunlinepr 2:21 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
219. sunlinepr 2:22 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:
I made a new blog regarding this system link


How's the van project going??
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
220. tornadodude 2:23 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting sunlinepr:


How's the van project going??


havent really started on it yet, I have some time to work on it, plenty of long cold winter nights to work on it
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
221. sunlinepr 2:27 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:


havent really started on it yet, I have some time to work on it, plenty of long cold winter nights to work on it


You're going to make it yourself or have friends / partner with knowledge or are you going to pay for that job?
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
222. tornadodude 2:29 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting sunlinepr:


You're going to make it yourself or have friends / partner with knowledge or are you going to pay for that job?


Well I already have the van, and I'm sure my friends will help me, and yeah, it will be out of pocket
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
223. sunlinepr 2:30 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:


Well I already have the van, and I'm sure my friends will help me, and yeah, it will be out of pocket


Hope you have a happy outcome with that....
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
224. tornadodude 2:30 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting sunlinepr:


Hope you have a happy outcome with that....


thanks!
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
225. tornadodude 2:39 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Im looking to get some of this for the vehicle, and see what I can do

Hail Protection Netting


Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
226. charlestonscnanny 2:43 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting sunlinepr:

Absolutely awesome!
Member Since: 5 augustus 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 106
227. sunlinepr 2:57 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:
Im looking to get some of this for the vehicle, and see what I can do

Hail Protection Netting




You know more than me about that, but I imagine that you have to place that net at least 3 or more inches over the roof or front / back glass of your van, so that it will absorb the hail impact.... Maybe like a curtain that you can drop or lower down in your van glass windows whenever you detect hail from a Tornado???
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
228. Orcasystems 3:00 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Member Since: 1 oktober 2007 Posts: 77 Comments: 26110
229. tornadodude 3:05 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting sunlinepr:


You know more than me about that, but I imagine that you have to place that net at least 3 or more inches over the roof or front / back glass of your van, so that it will absorb the hail impact.... Maybe like a curtain that you can drop or lower down in your van glass windows whenever you detect hail from a Tornado???


what I am planing on doing with it, is to build a roof like frame from the hood and windshield. a frame with the netting in the middle



kinda like this, but picture a roof extension? ha hard to explain
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
230. sunlinepr 3:08 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting charlestonscnanny:

Absolutely awesome!


Charleston Sat View???
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
231. JLPR2 3:09 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:


what I am planing on doing with it, is to build a roof like frame from the hood and windshield. a frame with the netting in the middle



kinda like this, but picture a roof extension? ha hard to explain


I want that car. :D
Member Since: 4 september 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 7528
232. tornadodude 3:10 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting JLPR2:


I want that car. :D


me too man, me too haha xD
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
233. sunlinepr 3:12 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:


what I am planing on doing with it, is to build a roof like frame from the hood and windshield. a frame with the netting in the middle



kinda like this, but picture a roof extension? ha hard to explain


Sure That photo shows the concept: Very clever... You can even build that roof, so that when it rains, collects water for your van storage tank (washing dishes, bathing, etc.)
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
234. tornadodude 3:13 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting sunlinepr:


Sure That photo shows the concept: Very clever... You can even build that roof, so that when it rains, collects water for your van storage tank (washing dishes, bathing, etc.)


hmm, that's a thought to entertain
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
235. HadesGodWyvern 3:15 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #29
DEPRESSION, FORMER JAL (BOB05-2010)
5:30 AM IST November 8 2010
==========================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, The deep depression over coastal areas of north Tamil Nadu and south Andhra Pradesh moved west-northwestwards, weakened into a depression. Depression, Former Jal lays centered near 14.0N 79.0E over Royalaseema & neighborhood.

It would move west-northwestwards and weaken further gradually.
Member Since: 24 mei 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 36926
236. sunlinepr 3:20 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:


hmm, that's a thought to entertain


Look at this link from someone living in a Van : My Campervan

Link

Europe Van

Link

Main link: Car, Van and Campervan living.

Link
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
237. sunlinepr 3:22 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
This is the van that guy used: Sure quite expensive....

Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
238. tornadodude 3:22 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
maybe some thoughts I can implement into my van
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
239. HurricaneDean07 3:31 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
2010 Hurricane Season In Review; A Storm Or Two Still Possible My Final Blog Post Of The Season, Unless Something Major Occurs Storm Wise. Check out my version of the season in review!
Member Since: 3 oktober 2010 Posts: 40 Comments: 4129
240. JLPR2 3:35 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    


Impressive.
Member Since: 4 september 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 7528
241. sunlinepr 3:35 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:
maybe some thoughts I can implement into my van


Well bad post I made....
I'm watching this video from Youtube.... The guy shows you how he prepared his van... Very informative....

Link
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
242. sunlinepr 3:36 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
243. TropicalAnalystwx13 3:38 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
384-hr Temperature forecast shows really cool weather for the United States. This is for 18Z, or 2:00 PM AST.

Temperatures at or below the freezing point cover most of the Northeast, and Great Lakes region.


Member Since: 6 juli 2010 Posts: 92 Comments: 25956
244. HurricaneDean07 3:39 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
384-hr Temperature forecast shows really cool weather for the United States. This is for 18Z, or 2:00 PM AST.

Temperatures at or below the freezing point cover most of the Northeast, and Great Lakes region.


compared to what the northeast and great lakes are getting right now, it's about the same. so it's more like a double dose. not something new
Member Since: 3 oktober 2010 Posts: 40 Comments: 4129
245. tornadodude 3:40 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
246. tornadodude 3:43 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
NWS INDY



A calm, clear night will prevail across Central Indiana as high pressure continues to influence the area. Overnight lows will be a tad warmer tonight though with readings in the low to mid 30s.
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
247. HurricaneDean07 3:45 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:
almost looks like a Nor' Easter or is it actually?
Member Since: 3 oktober 2010 Posts: 40 Comments: 4129
248. tornadodude 3:46 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
almost looks like a Nor' Easter or is it actually?


Im pretty sure by definition it is, but not a very impressive one, but there may be some significant rainfall across Maine.

Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816
249. sunlinepr 3:46 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
2010 Hurricane Season In Review; A Storm Or Two Still Possible My Final Blog Post Of The Season, Unless Something Major Occurs Storm Wise. Check out my version of the season in review!


Liked that summary, though impressed with that big amount of casualties....
Member Since: 2 augustus 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
250. HurricaneDean07 3:46 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
And On That Note. G'nite All! Probably won't be on for the next few days.
Member Since: 3 oktober 2010 Posts: 40 Comments: 4129
251. tornadodude 3:46 AM GMT op 08 november 2010    
down right miserable

Augusta State Airport
Lat: 44.32 Lon: -69.8 Elev: 350
Last Update on Nov 7, 9:53 pm EST

Rain Fog/Mist and Breezy

35 °F
(2 °C)
Humidity: 89 %
Wind Speed: N 23 G 32 MPH
Barometer: 29.86" (1011.6 mb)
Dewpoint: 32 °F (0 °C)
Wind Chill: 23 °F (-5 °C)
Visibility: 4.00 mi.
Member Since: 28 juni 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 7816

Viewing: 201 - 251

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6Blog Index

New Comment
Community Standards Policy Comments will take a few seconds to appear.
Post Your Comments
Please sign in to post comments.
Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.
About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Community Activity